Sunday, April 01, 2007

 

Predications A-Go-Go

While I may have been too busy to post lately, I have certainly found time to keep up with all of the Nats news. Sorry to see Casto get sent down, but I expect him up sooner rather than later.

But more importantly, I am less than 12 hours away from entering the hallowed grounds of Lot 8 for Opening Day festivities. Can't wait! I'll be stopping by MissChatter's tailgate and I'll try to say hello to the gang in Section 320. Looking forward to seeing everyone at the game!

So, since this is my last post before the regular season gets under way, I guess it's time for some predictions for the season:
  • Player most likely to outperform expectations - Not that anyone on this club really has high expectations to live up, of course. That said, I know it's wrong and that he'll just break my heart in the end, but I'll go out on a limb and buy into the spring Guzman hype. .265/.320/.400 for the Guz sounds about right.
  • Player most likely to underperform expectations - J-Patt, unfortunately. I just can't see him staying healthy for an entire season. PECOTA projects a meager 95 IP, which I think he'll beat, but I don't think he'll make it to 150 IP. Let's say 115 IP, 4.20 ERA.
  • Zimm v.2 - No sophomore slump for the pride of Clarendon. .300-25-100, and your starting third baseman for the NL All-Star team (David Wright, who? Miguel Cabrera, wha?)
  • Attendance - The season ticket delivery snafu, the removal of Hard Times Cafe, and a fairly awful team do not attendance records make. Nats fall below 2 million in attendance on the year for the first time since they returned to Washington.
  • Date when Nook Logan gets replaced in the starting lineup - May 20 vs Baltimore. People who look at that .351 spring OBP and see hope need to take a crash course on why you shouldn't rely on small sample sizes.
  • Trade deadline moves - Dmitri Young gets traded to the Cubs to fill in for an injured Derrek Lee, giving Casto the playing time he deserves at 1B.
  • 2007 Record - 64-98, 5th place in the NL East. I think Shawn Hill will surprise and Jerome Williams will hold down a spot in the rotation, but I don't expect to see Nick Johnson back before mid-August and the effect of his lost OBP can't be overstated.
I'd like to finish off this offseason by again giving a hearty applause to my fellow Nats bloggers and assorted denizens of this crazy world we call the Natosphere. You are what makes the long winter bearable. All hail and praise to Chris at Capitol Punishment; MissChatter at JANF; Harper and Co. at OMG; Brian, Scott, and John at NFA; Basil at Federal Baseball; Farid at TBB, Ryan at Distinguished Senators, the Ball Wonk himself; Screech's Best Friend at Nats320; Dave and the crew at Nats Triple Play, Ben and Brandon at The Curly W; Yudites wherever you may be; other Nats bloggers I may have forgotten; and yes, even the homers at BPG. Thanks also to Barry Svrluga at the Post, Mark Zuckerman and Thom Loverro at the Times, Todd Jacobson at the Free Lance-Star, Bill Ladson at Nats.com, and all the other MSM'ers without whom we'd have to rely on rank hearsay and innunendo (not that we don't already).

Finally, a big thanks to everyone that commented or e-mailed me this offseason. While I might not have always agreed with you, seeing those e-mails pop up letting me know that someone had commented always made my day. On more than one occasion what you've written has helped me become a better blogger.

And lastly ...

... let's go Nats!

Comments:
Have you seen this?
www.thiscouldbetheyear.net
I've seen it mentioned at a few other Nats sites, and someone suggested the Nats blogosphere might help give this proposal some traction. Seems like a good cause, and it could make for some exciting baseball too.
Thanks.
 
Are you blogging somewhere else? There you were, and then suddenly, there you weren't (like I'm one to talk).

Hope all is okay with you.

Farid
 
Like I said on someone else's blog, I can't believe you're not only a huge baseball fan, but a Washington Generals fan as well. This team has been bad for a real long time, but the fact that it's baseball bad means that you're never going to see a World Series. I'm an Arizona Cardinals fan so I understand completely the pain of having a horrible team in your city. If you're into sports check me out at http:/www.thedouble-ushow.blogspot.com
 
There's been no new posting since April...this site has been as vacant as the space between Paris Hilton's ears. Nice crack on the Mets, though. Just passing by at 5 in the a.m.
 
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